President Abdullahi Yusuf was elected
by warlords in a chaotic Ethiopian funded campaign mired by
secrecy, bribery and coercion. Abdullahi's government has
been plagued by political infighting, chronic mismanagement
and lack of local legitimacy. As President Abdullahi Yusuf's
history shows, he has always been prone to failure when it
comes to political dialog which is badly needed at this
juncture of the Somali politics.
In fact, the tactics that Abdullahi
Yusuf has sharpened for decades as a warlord and rebel
leader shows he knows only two ways to quell the chaos; by
bribes and by military force which both are in short
supply. Abdullahi Yusuf is a loathed by Somalis and had no
political capital or legitimacy within the Somali citizenry
which makes very difficult for him to muster the support
needed to bring about a lasting peace in Somalia
Most Somalis highly suspect his
commitment to democratic principles which makes even the
secularist Somalis worry of his government. Abdullahi
Yusuf’s credibility is further questioned by his refusal to
recognize the former Arta government which was established
in Djibouti after an exhaustive negotiation and many believe
he was a major factor the failure of that government.
Abdullahi Yusuf is known to side line
the Arab League. The countries of the Arab League which
Somalia is a member of do not trust him and his current
prime minister.
This further alienates President
Abdullahi Yusuf as majority of Somalis believe the links and
relations between Somalia and the Arab world is as important
as their survival. The Somali business community and
education system is highly dependent on the Arab world. The
business community is weary of any government that might
antagonize the Arab countries because of the historic links
between the Somali business men and the neighboring Arab
countries such as the Emirates, Saudi Arabia and Egypt.
Abdullahi Yusuf is unabashed Ethiopia’s
friend and proxy and most Somalis know Abdullahi Yusuf would
not last more than a week without the support of the
Ethiopian dictator who enthroned him by bribing the Somali
warlord parliamentarians. Abdullahi Yusuf’s historic
association with Ethiopia and coming to power by their
support and staying in power of their direct military
intervention sealed his faith of ever reaching an agreement
with other non pro-Ethiopian rational Somalis.
The world sees the quandary in standing
behind an emperor which has no clothes but they would not
dare to open the bandore box of re-negotiations and building
a new government? But the reality on the ground shows there
is a golden opportunity for such endeavor. The warlords who
made negations impossible are outdone and replaced by a
moderate Islamic Courts that showed, they can maintain the
peace and can run government and build a working society.
The world should not stand behind a man
rejected by his people and nation. He is calling IGAD and
Ethiopian military because he has no legitimacy and cannot
draw upon his Somali population. If President Yusuf had
legitimacy Somalis would have volunteered and cities would
have been falling under his leadership like the Islamic
Courts have. The world should demand his resignation and
the election of a uniting leader before it is too late. If
United States with 20,000 UN soldiers were unable to coerce
an unwilling Somali population to accept a puppet regime,
then it would be even more difficult for IGAD and Ethiopia
to do just that. President Yusuf is too divisive and
polarizing to rule Somalia. It is time to consider for
credible replacement.
Ali Osman
ccusmaan@gmail.com